Novorussia is still expecting a Ukrainian attack. First, according to RT, "Kiev is not fully committed to the ceasefire in eastern Ukraine, Russian
deputy UN ambassador Aleksandr Pankin said during Wednesday's UN
Security Council meeting. He added that the Ukrainian military is
amassing forces along the front line". Then from the Novorussian front lines, we have the blogger Colonel Cassad who reports that a friend of his has just visited Donetsk and spoke with some top people - including 'Motorola' - and that she reports that:
1. The airport has not yet been fully taken and that combat operations are still taking place there and that both sides are engaged in artillery battles.
2. The shelling of Makeevka has been strongly reduced thanks to the counter-battery fire of the Novorussians against Nazi positions in Avdeevka and Peski. They are trying to stop the Ukie shelling of the city of Donetsk.
3. They are still expecting a Ukie attack and the NAF are preparing for defensive combat operations. Novorussian soliders are reporting that Polish soliders are deployed north of Dontesk.
It could go either way, I suppose, and this might be yet another false alert.
A quick note about sources:
Speaking of 'Cassad', I want to recommend him again as one of the best sources of info about the situation Novorussia. Along with another blogger, "Basketok", he provides very good info. The other big quality of Cassad is that he is very factual and avoids all the hysterics that so many bloggers tend to engage in. While Cassad writes in Russian, somebody is translating his writings into English and doing a very good job. Check out the 'English Cassad' blog and, as a good example, this November 11th translation of an article published by the Russian Cassad on the 10th. Today is the 12 but the info contained is still valid and interesting. In other words, the Cassad+English Cassad combo provides pretty solid info, pretty fast. Frankly, as English language sources go, I recommend Colonel Cassad's blog as the first place to go.
Second, I recommend Russia Insider. No, not because I am a contributor there, but because there is *a lot* of fresh info there, and that it's "reach of topics" is wider than Cassad's. So Cassad for fresh info about Novorussia, Russia Insider as fresh "context info". RT? Alas, no. I like CrossTalk a lot, but that is a discussion show, not a source of info. But the info on RT is mostly stale and vague. There is also the Voice of Sevastopol in English and the Youtube channels of Kazurra and Anti-Maidan (with whom Basketok is associated). That's about all the English-language news sources about the Ukraine I could recommend. As a general news website to go to I would recommend Information Clearing House and the Asia Times (especially anything written by Pepe Escobar).
Showing posts with label Ukraine mini-SITREP. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Ukraine mini-SITREP. Show all posts
Wednesday, November 12, 2014
Friday, October 24, 2014
Ukraine mini-SITREP: very ominous developments (follow up)
This post is a short follow-up to the Ukraine mini-SITREP: very ominous developments post I did a couple of days ago.
Several of you have noticed what can only be called a declaration of war on Russia by one of the top figures of the AngloZionist international capital, George Soros who has declared that "Russia is an existential threat to Europe". First, Khodorkovsky, now Soros - it is pretty clear who is gunning for Russia and how, and it is equally clear that what these financiers are really admitting by their bellicose statements is that Putin is an existential threat to them. In the latter statement, they are actually 100% correct (proving one more time that those who say that Putin is an oligarchic puppet are just useful and manipulated idiots).
Nuland, Soros, Khodorkovsky, Hillary, Friedman and the list goes on and on and on. The entire Neocon cabal is out for war and they are putting tremendous pressure on the rest of the planet to join.
The Europeans are, typically, showing less spine than a microwaved jellyfish: even though they fully know and understand that Uncle Sam is propping up a Nazi regime in Kiev and that the US policies are hurting them, they will do whatever the US tells them. There is no European foreign policy to speak of. All the Europeans can produce is a submissive "yessir! anything you say sir!". One of the most pitiful expressions of this European submission to any order from the US, no matter how stupid, is this fairytale about a Russian submarine lurking inside the Swedish waters.
Not only is that a bad replay of the Swedish Cold War era paranoia following the Whiskey on the Rocks incident, in which a navigational error resulted in a Soviet Whiskey-class sub being beached on the rocks near Karlskrona. While the Swedes of the Cold War could be excused for seeing Soviet subs as often as Scots see the Loch Ness Monster, to come up with the same nonsense in 2014 is plain embarrassing and shows that the Swedish military will also execute any other, no matter how evidently stupid. This time around, the BBC claims that the first sign of a Russian sub was, I kid you not, a "radio conversation in Russian was reportedly detected on Thursday 16 October between the Stockholm archipelago and the Russian enclave of Kaliningrad, where Russia's Baltic fleet is based". Apparently, there are people dumb enough to believe this kind of nonsense.
Seriously, funny as these "Swedish fairytales" are, we should not overlook the fact that the intention behind them is not funny at all: to create fear and possibly a pretext for a confrontation.
In the meantime, in Banderastan, things are getting worse and worse every day and the only thing holding back a full scale Ukie attack on Novorussia is the fear of further military defeats before the elections. But short of a major change in dynamic, a Ukie attack will happen as soon as the elections are over. One thing which could delay such an attack would be an anti-Poroshenko coup in Kiev.
Though this has not quite been reported that way, one thing which did come out of the Milan summit is that the Ukrainians have basically admitted that they have no money at all. None. Hence all the talks about the Europeans forking the money for the Russian gas. Also, the cold season has begun and from now on its all just going to get worse and worse.
One more important item:
I have to admit that even in my wildest dreams I could not have imagined such a huge number of questions. Next, the Russian Saker Blog Team Leader and myself will have to decide on the number of questions we will forward to Mikhail Khazin and what methodology to follow to select questions. We might combine similar question into one. I am not sure, but I will keep you posted.
Kind regards,
The Saker
Several of you have noticed what can only be called a declaration of war on Russia by one of the top figures of the AngloZionist international capital, George Soros who has declared that "Russia is an existential threat to Europe". First, Khodorkovsky, now Soros - it is pretty clear who is gunning for Russia and how, and it is equally clear that what these financiers are really admitting by their bellicose statements is that Putin is an existential threat to them. In the latter statement, they are actually 100% correct (proving one more time that those who say that Putin is an oligarchic puppet are just useful and manipulated idiots).
The Europeans are, typically, showing less spine than a microwaved jellyfish: even though they fully know and understand that Uncle Sam is propping up a Nazi regime in Kiev and that the US policies are hurting them, they will do whatever the US tells them. There is no European foreign policy to speak of. All the Europeans can produce is a submissive "yessir! anything you say sir!". One of the most pitiful expressions of this European submission to any order from the US, no matter how stupid, is this fairytale about a Russian submarine lurking inside the Swedish waters.
Not only is that a bad replay of the Swedish Cold War era paranoia following the Whiskey on the Rocks incident, in which a navigational error resulted in a Soviet Whiskey-class sub being beached on the rocks near Karlskrona. While the Swedes of the Cold War could be excused for seeing Soviet subs as often as Scots see the Loch Ness Monster, to come up with the same nonsense in 2014 is plain embarrassing and shows that the Swedish military will also execute any other, no matter how evidently stupid. This time around, the BBC claims that the first sign of a Russian sub was, I kid you not, a "radio conversation in Russian was reportedly detected on Thursday 16 October between the Stockholm archipelago and the Russian enclave of Kaliningrad, where Russia's Baltic fleet is based". Apparently, there are people dumb enough to believe this kind of nonsense.
Seriously, funny as these "Swedish fairytales" are, we should not overlook the fact that the intention behind them is not funny at all: to create fear and possibly a pretext for a confrontation.
In the meantime, in Banderastan, things are getting worse and worse every day and the only thing holding back a full scale Ukie attack on Novorussia is the fear of further military defeats before the elections. But short of a major change in dynamic, a Ukie attack will happen as soon as the elections are over. One thing which could delay such an attack would be an anti-Poroshenko coup in Kiev.Though this has not quite been reported that way, one thing which did come out of the Milan summit is that the Ukrainians have basically admitted that they have no money at all. None. Hence all the talks about the Europeans forking the money for the Russian gas. Also, the cold season has begun and from now on its all just going to get worse and worse.
One more important item:
The deadline to post comments to Khazin has just passed.
I have to admit that even in my wildest dreams I could not have imagined such a huge number of questions. Next, the Russian Saker Blog Team Leader and myself will have to decide on the number of questions we will forward to Mikhail Khazin and what methodology to follow to select questions. We might combine similar question into one. I am not sure, but I will keep you posted.
Kind regards,
The Saker
Wednesday, October 22, 2014
Ukraine mini-SITREP: very ominous developments
This short post is just to inform you of the latest developments in the war in the Ukraine.
Following the use of a tactical ballistic missile against Donetsk by the Ukies, Zakharchenko has declared that the ceasefire was basically over.
Strelkov has made an official appeal warning that according to this information the Ukies were massing troops in preparation for an attack. According to Strelkov, the Ukie plan is for a very short and very rapid "push" towards Donestk and the Russian border to make any Novorussian state non-viable and thus to negotiate from a position of force. True, Strelkov does have a record of exaggerating threats in order to minimize them, but this time there are some strong signs that his analysis is shared by the Russian military, and these signs are the most ominous signs of all.
Russian sources - including the excellent Colonel Cassad blog - report that the voentorg aid-spigot has been fully re-opened including for some major deliveries. While, of course, I am very happy that the Novorussian resistance is getting much needed equipment (and specialists), this kind of full reopening of the voentorg also indicates to me that the Russian intelligence services have concluded that an attack is very likely, possibly very soon.
I have been following the situation in Banderastan pretty closely and I can only say that the cracks in the regime are visible all over the place. Whether Poroshenko and his US master's really believe that an attack can succeed (I doubt it) or whether they really want to force Russia into openly intervening (which I see as almost inevitable), the fact is that starting a major war might well be the only way to save the Poroshenko regime which currently is in free fall.
It is quite possible that Strelkov's blunt warning and, even more so, the reopening of the voentorg will convince the Ukies that Russia is ready to intervene and that their attack will not be allowed to succeed. What concerns me is that the Poroshenko regime (and his CIA patrons) might decide that even a defeat at the hand of the Russian military is preferable to the current death spiral: not only can a war save the regime, a Russian intervention would finally make the AngloZionist dream come true. Putin will try his utmost to avoid falling into this trap, and that means that Russia will have to provide massive covert support and aid to Novorussia. As for the Novorussians, they have to be strong enough to stop the initial assault. If they succeed, then the offensive will be effectively dead. But Strelkov is right, if the Ukie break through the Novorussian lines, then Russia will have to intervene.
This is an extremely dangerous situation.
The Saker
Following the use of a tactical ballistic missile against Donetsk by the Ukies, Zakharchenko has declared that the ceasefire was basically over.
Strelkov has made an official appeal warning that according to this information the Ukies were massing troops in preparation for an attack. According to Strelkov, the Ukie plan is for a very short and very rapid "push" towards Donestk and the Russian border to make any Novorussian state non-viable and thus to negotiate from a position of force. True, Strelkov does have a record of exaggerating threats in order to minimize them, but this time there are some strong signs that his analysis is shared by the Russian military, and these signs are the most ominous signs of all.
Russian sources - including the excellent Colonel Cassad blog - report that the voentorg aid-spigot has been fully re-opened including for some major deliveries. While, of course, I am very happy that the Novorussian resistance is getting much needed equipment (and specialists), this kind of full reopening of the voentorg also indicates to me that the Russian intelligence services have concluded that an attack is very likely, possibly very soon.
I have been following the situation in Banderastan pretty closely and I can only say that the cracks in the regime are visible all over the place. Whether Poroshenko and his US master's really believe that an attack can succeed (I doubt it) or whether they really want to force Russia into openly intervening (which I see as almost inevitable), the fact is that starting a major war might well be the only way to save the Poroshenko regime which currently is in free fall.
It is quite possible that Strelkov's blunt warning and, even more so, the reopening of the voentorg will convince the Ukies that Russia is ready to intervene and that their attack will not be allowed to succeed. What concerns me is that the Poroshenko regime (and his CIA patrons) might decide that even a defeat at the hand of the Russian military is preferable to the current death spiral: not only can a war save the regime, a Russian intervention would finally make the AngloZionist dream come true. Putin will try his utmost to avoid falling into this trap, and that means that Russia will have to provide massive covert support and aid to Novorussia. As for the Novorussians, they have to be strong enough to stop the initial assault. If they succeed, then the offensive will be effectively dead. But Strelkov is right, if the Ukie break through the Novorussian lines, then Russia will have to intervene.
This is an extremely dangerous situation.
The Saker
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