Friday, February 6, 2015
Quick update on Debaltsevo
Couple of things:
The evacuation of civilians basically failed. First, the buses got stuck and had to wait due to nearby mortar shelling, then only 3 buses (out of 20) were filled with refugees, nobody else wanted to leave and, considering the risks, I don't blame them. This is a terrible thing to say, but not boarding these buses today was the prudent thing to do (today, the junta forces fired at refugees near Lugansk).
Now take a look at this map from militarymaps:
Then compare with this one from Cassad:
Do you see what I see? Check out the two black bars I added to Cassad's map. I see that the Debaltsevo cauldron is getting double-locked with a second "lid" near that Svetlodarsk (СВЕТЛОДАРСК) Krasnyi Pakhar (КРАСНЫЙ ПАХАРЬ) line with the bodies of water making things much worse for the junta.
Lot's of rumors about the Merkel-Hollande proposal, but I rather wait for facts before posting anything about it.
Hopefully, later today.
The Saker
The evacuation of civilians basically failed. First, the buses got stuck and had to wait due to nearby mortar shelling, then only 3 buses (out of 20) were filled with refugees, nobody else wanted to leave and, considering the risks, I don't blame them. This is a terrible thing to say, but not boarding these buses today was the prudent thing to do (today, the junta forces fired at refugees near Lugansk).
Now take a look at this map from militarymaps:
Then compare with this one from Cassad:
Do you see what I see? Check out the two black bars I added to Cassad's map. I see that the Debaltsevo cauldron is getting double-locked with a second "lid" near that Svetlodarsk (СВЕТЛОДАРСК) Krasnyi Pakhar (КРАСНЫЙ ПАХАРЬ) line with the bodies of water making things much worse for the junta.
Lot's of rumors about the Merkel-Hollande proposal, but I rather wait for facts before posting anything about it.
Hopefully, later today.
The Saker