Friday, November 16, 2007
Summary of the latest IAEA report on Iran
F. Summary (emphasis added)
39. The Agency has been able to verify the non-diversion of declared nuclear material in Iran. Iran has provided the Agency with access to declared nuclear material, and has provided the required nuclear material accountancy reports in connection with declared nuclear material and activities. Iran concluded a Facility Attachment for FEP. However, it should be noted that, since early 2006, the Agency has not received the type of information that Iran had previously been providing, pursuant to the Additional Protocol and as a transparency measure. As a result, the Agency’s knowledge about Iran’s current nuclear programme is diminishing.
40. Contrary to the decisions of the Security Council, Iran has not suspended its enrichment related activities, having continued the operation of PFEP and FEP. Iran has also continued the construction of the IR-40 and operation of the Heavy Water Production Plant. 41. There are two remaining major issues relevant to the scope and nature of Iran’s nuclear programme: Iran’s past and current centrifuge enrichment programme and the alleged studies. The Agency has been able to conclude that answers provided on the declared past P-1 and P-2 centrifuge programmes are consistent with its findings. The Agency will, however, continue to seek corroboration and is continuing to verify the completeness of Iran’s declarations. The Agency intends in the next few weeks to focus on the contamination issue as well as the alleged studies and other activities that could have military applications.
42. Iran has provided sufficient access to individuals and has responded in a timely manner to questions and provided clarifications and amplifications on issues raised in the context of the work plan. However, its cooperation has been reactive rather than proactive. As previously stated, Iran’s active cooperation and full transparency are indispensable for full and prompt implementation of the work plan.
43. In addition, Iran needs to continue to build confidence about the scope and nature of its present programme. Confidence in the exclusively peaceful nature of Iran’s nuclear programme requires that the Agency be able to provide assurances not only regarding declared nuclear material, but, equally importantly, regarding the absence of undeclared nuclear material and activities in Iran. Although the Agency has no concrete information, other than that addressed through the work plan, about possible current undeclared nuclear material and activities in Iran, the Agency is not in a position to provide credible assurances about the absence of undeclared nuclear material and activities in Iran without full implementation of the Additional Protocol. This is especially important in the light of Iran’s undeclared activities for almost two decades and the need to restore confidence in the exclusively peaceful nature of its nuclear programme. Therefore, the Director General again urges Iran to implement the Additional Protocol at the earliest possible date. The Director General also urges Iran to implement all the confidence building measures required by the Security Council, including the suspension of all enrichment related activities.
44. The Director General will continue to report as appropriate.
------
The picture is simple:
1) Iran has proven that its nuclear program is fully accounted for and thereby that it is purely civilian in nature
2) Iran refuses to stop enriching uranium, which it is fully entitled to do as a member of the NPT, even though the UNSC (illegally, in violation of NTP obligations) demands that Iran stops all enrichment
Iran is thus no 'threat' to anyone. The 'illegal Iranian nuclear weapons program' canard is dead.
Full text of the report (in PDF format) available here
39. The Agency has been able to verify the non-diversion of declared nuclear material in Iran. Iran has provided the Agency with access to declared nuclear material, and has provided the required nuclear material accountancy reports in connection with declared nuclear material and activities. Iran concluded a Facility Attachment for FEP. However, it should be noted that, since early 2006, the Agency has not received the type of information that Iran had previously been providing, pursuant to the Additional Protocol and as a transparency measure. As a result, the Agency’s knowledge about Iran’s current nuclear programme is diminishing.
40. Contrary to the decisions of the Security Council, Iran has not suspended its enrichment related activities, having continued the operation of PFEP and FEP. Iran has also continued the construction of the IR-40 and operation of the Heavy Water Production Plant. 41. There are two remaining major issues relevant to the scope and nature of Iran’s nuclear programme: Iran’s past and current centrifuge enrichment programme and the alleged studies. The Agency has been able to conclude that answers provided on the declared past P-1 and P-2 centrifuge programmes are consistent with its findings. The Agency will, however, continue to seek corroboration and is continuing to verify the completeness of Iran’s declarations. The Agency intends in the next few weeks to focus on the contamination issue as well as the alleged studies and other activities that could have military applications.
42. Iran has provided sufficient access to individuals and has responded in a timely manner to questions and provided clarifications and amplifications on issues raised in the context of the work plan. However, its cooperation has been reactive rather than proactive. As previously stated, Iran’s active cooperation and full transparency are indispensable for full and prompt implementation of the work plan.
43. In addition, Iran needs to continue to build confidence about the scope and nature of its present programme. Confidence in the exclusively peaceful nature of Iran’s nuclear programme requires that the Agency be able to provide assurances not only regarding declared nuclear material, but, equally importantly, regarding the absence of undeclared nuclear material and activities in Iran. Although the Agency has no concrete information, other than that addressed through the work plan, about possible current undeclared nuclear material and activities in Iran, the Agency is not in a position to provide credible assurances about the absence of undeclared nuclear material and activities in Iran without full implementation of the Additional Protocol. This is especially important in the light of Iran’s undeclared activities for almost two decades and the need to restore confidence in the exclusively peaceful nature of its nuclear programme. Therefore, the Director General again urges Iran to implement the Additional Protocol at the earliest possible date. The Director General also urges Iran to implement all the confidence building measures required by the Security Council, including the suspension of all enrichment related activities.
44. The Director General will continue to report as appropriate.
------
The picture is simple:
1) Iran has proven that its nuclear program is fully accounted for and thereby that it is purely civilian in nature
2) Iran refuses to stop enriching uranium, which it is fully entitled to do as a member of the NPT, even though the UNSC (illegally, in violation of NTP obligations) demands that Iran stops all enrichment
Iran is thus no 'threat' to anyone. The 'illegal Iranian nuclear weapons program' canard is dead.
Full text of the report (in PDF format) available here
Subscribe to:
Post Comments (Atom)



12 comments:
Great job. I also recommend the analysis of the IAEA Iran report at IranAffairs.com
thanks for the link to the excellent analysis!
Look at how the ever lousier Guardian puts it:http://www.guardian.co.uk/iran/story/0,,2212071,00.html
But yes, I think this report is just one more reason why the US will continue along the same track it has for several months now. That is to say, demonisation of Iran will focus more on Iran's alleged 'interference' (LOL!) in Iraq than on its alleged - and very much disputed - 'nuclear programme'. I think this is only because there is so little evidence to back up the 'nukes' story, but becasue your average American is deemed more likely to be concerned over their boys being killed by evil Ayatollahs in Iraq, than they are about non-existent weapons, which, even if they existed and even if they posed a real threat, really only bother Israel.
Iran has "BEGUN" being more cooperative in providing information regarding their nuclear program in the last few weeks. This is good news. Let us hope this continues.
MNF-I and GoI officials also report that Iran has significantly reduced assistance to the negative forces inside Iraq.
All of this is very hopeful. Iran’s unelected dictator and Supreme Leader Khamenei significantly changed course a few weeks ago. If Khamenei sticks with this new course, a military conflict with Iran is out of the cards.
But I like most other people still believe that Iran has a covert nuclear weapons program. However, by keeping it covert, and providing some transparency regarding its nuclear energy program, Iran’s progress in building WMD will be slow.
agreed. the nuclear nonsense is stillborn, so either the IED or some nefarious plot (like the nonsense about the IDF bombing some 'nuclear site' in Syria) will have to serve as a pretext for war.
Another option is to have the Israelis bomb something in Iran and then either wait for a retaliation or make one up, and then start a bombing campaign under the pious and noble objective to "come to the defense of the only democracy in the Middle East, our ally Israel, to avert a 2nd Holocaust'
Still - the IAEA report is important as it takes away from the *Europeans* the only fig leaf they had to continue to obey the Neocons.
It will be interesting to see what the Solana report will say.
"Iran has significantly reduced assistance to the negative forces inside Iraq."
And to think I never even knew that Iran was helping the US army. Obviously I'm not as well-informed as I'd like to think.
as a matter of fact, Iran IS helping the USA in Iraq since it is the main force behind SIIC (ex-SCIRI), Dawa and the Maliki government. That is, of course, the paradox of the US propaganda. This is made possible only thanks to the truly phenomenal level of ignorance of the US population which is never told by its corporate media that, in fact, the USA and Iran are backing the very same people in Iraq and, albeit to a lesser degree, in Afghanistan.
The other simple fact is that the 'redirection' is not firmly pushing all Shias directly into Teheran's welcoming arms, Mehdi Army included.
Is Dubya some secret Iranian mole? (just kiddin)
LOL!
Yeah you're right, of course. In many ways Iran's and the US' aims in Iraq coincide. America's favoured Shia clients - Sistani, Al Hakim and to some degree Maliki - all have strong Iranian connections. As you say, only the shocking ignorance of the US public allows this to go almost totally unnoticed in the mainstream.
BTW I suppose I should point out here that I don't actually think there will be a US war on Iran.
Irish blood carries wisdom: "I don't actually think there will be a US war on Iran."
VP Cheney has behaved as Supreme Leader Khamenei's stick puppet for over a decade. (Halliburton lobbied extensively on Khamenei's behalf during Cheney's tenure there. They still are now that Cheney is gone.) Cheney dutifully removed Khamenei’s mortal enemies, the Taliban and the demon Saddam, and put in power Iran’s long time close allies in Iraq and Afghanistan. (The Iranians initially pushed for Karzai to be Afghanistan’s first President . . . and when Pakistan demurred Karzai was selected at the Bonn 2001 conference. The Northern Alliance, including Uzbechs, Hazaras, Tajiks and allied Pashtu remain cushy with Iran . . . and they represent a majority of Afghans.)
VP Cheney talks about resisting Iran’s clerics but in practice does everything they order him to do. The current Iran talk is a bunch of bluster by VP Cheney to prove that he is loyal to America rather than Khamenei.
Between late 2005 and until a few weeks ago Khamenei behaved bizarrely by significantly backing many rival factions in Iraq (including JAM, DAWA, SIIC, Fadheela Sadrists, Kurds, sunni arab anti-shia bigoted militia), and encouraging all of them to fight with each other (and kill sunni arab Iraqi civilians in nutty militia violence). His set all against all in an orgy of destruction was so over the top, that Sayeed Muqtada (while staying inside Iran and heavily dependent of Iranian support for JAM) publicly blasted Iran for backing Al Qaeda in Iraq.
In August and September, the GoI (including Maliki, SIIC, Talabani and others) read Khamenei the riot act and told him to “KNOCK IT OFF.”
Khamenei has knocked it off since then. It looks like Khamenei doesn’t really want a war right now.
Khamenei was also misbehaving in Afghanistan this year (I previously left a comment linking to a press conference by Afghanistan’s Defense Minister Wardek—a long time friend and well wisher of Iran.) I suspect that Khamenei has knocked it off there too, but should check Afghan government and NATO briefings to verify.
Vineyard, I was very disappointed in your criticism of the good people of Halliburton. I have always felt that much of the animus against Halliburton comes from the fact that it is headquartered in “Ae-RAAB” Dubai, and mostly consists of foreign owners, stakeholders, employees, customers, and suppliers. It is all a part of this foreign baiting nativist nonsense overwhelming this country at the moment. I was very sad to see Senators Hillary and Edwards engage in such crass anti-foreign bashing (blasting imports, outsourcing, free trade) ala Michael Moore/Ross Perot/Pat Buchanan/Jesse Jackson/Lou Dobbs/O’Reilly/Ann Coulter/Arundhati Roy style (Kucinich does it to but he strikes me as a nicer person.).
Vineyard, don’t fall for this negative spin. You need to back the patriots including Ron Paul on this issue.
Halliburton is an example of a successful Dubai headquartered company. Dubai Arabs take great pride in its success. Halliburton and Dubai proves all the cynics about the Arab world wrong. If they can make it, so can the rest of the Arab world. May the Arab world succeed in all its endeavors! {I admit, I like the Arabs.}
Halliburton has largely liquidated its stake in KBR (http://biz.yahoo.com/t/47/71.html)
The KBR stake was always a small percentage of Halliburton’s equity. It is irrational to blame Halliburton for KBR.
Vineyard, please add the global Takfiris and AQ linked networks to your access of evil. You correctly added the extremists in Saudi Arabia and Pakistan (as opposed to the silent majority of good people in both countries.)
Why did you add the Turks? Is it because of their anti-Kurd policy? I really like the Kurds! I love to read about their history and culture. I could write a hundred pages about them and bore all of you to tears. But I like all of you too much to do that. :-)
Excluding the Kurdish issue, which is real, I really like the Turks. {Turkey is such an amazing place to visit.}
Also, please don’t lose faith in the Israelis. Israelis and Hamas will realize their friendship and bond with each other in the end. An alliance between both of them would deliver a body blow to the global Takfiri menace. You yourself predict the Palestinian and Israeli people merging into a new and very successful country (which implies that they will like each other so much they will want to merge into the same country.)
I would also be curious to receive Irish wisdom into how the world can work together to beat back the global Takfiri extremist plague.
"VP Cheney talks about resisting Iran’s clerics but in practice does everything they order him to do. The current Iran talk is a bunch of bluster by VP Cheney to prove that he is loyal to America rather than Khamenei.
"
Surely you're not implying that Cheney takes his marching orders from Khameini?
Anonymous. "If the shoe fits, the shoe fits."
希望大家都會非常非常幸福~
「朵朵小語‧優美的眷戀在這個世界上,最重要的一件事,就是好好愛自己。好好愛自己,你的眼睛才能看見天空的美麗,耳朵才能聽見山水的清音。好好愛自己,你才能體會所有美好的東西,所有的文字與音符才能像清泉一樣注入你的心靈。好好愛自己,你才有愛人的能力,也才有讓別人愛上你的魅力。而愛自己的第一步,就是切斷讓自己覺得黏膩的過去,以無沾無滯的輕快心情,大步走向前去。愛自己的第二步,則是隨時保持孩子般的好奇,願意接受未知的指引;也隨時可以拋卻不再需要的行囊,一路雲淡風輕。親愛的,你是天地之間獨一無二的旅人,在陽光與月光的交替之中瀟灑獨行.............................................................................................................有時,你覺得痛。胃痛的時候,接受它,承認這個疼痛是你的身體的一部份,與它和平共處。心痛的時候,接受它,承認這個經驗是你的生命的一部份,與它和平共處。抗拒痛的存在,只會讓它更要證明它的存在,於是你就更痛。所以,.無論你有多麼不喜歡痛的感覺,還是要接納這個痛的事實。與你的痛站在同一邊,不逃避,不閃躲,不再與你的痛爭執,如此,你的痛才會漸漸不再胡鬧,才會乖乖平息下去。.................心願-你許下了一個心願,你閉上眼睛,在冥想之中把這個心願交託宙給宇整個讓宇宙推動它全部的力.量去執行.,你看見星球與星球的引力牽繫著彼此,你聽見虛空與虛空.唱裡著和妙美的聲音,為了你的心願,整個宇宙正在相互傳遞,然後你放下了心願,不僅是放下,最好你還把你的心願忘記,唯有如此,它才能脫離你,發展它自己,
當它在宇宙的遊歷結束之後,它自然會來到你身邊,以你曾經希望的方式回應你,許下,只是讓它發生,放下,才是讓>它實現,你的心願使你懂得不能執著的奧秘...................
Post a Comment